abbvie stock forecast 2030

The stock projection varied from the low price target of $135 to the high of $200. Refer to our. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. The Immunology division looks strong, even factoring in the patent cliff faced by $20 billion-selling Humira. While some of the gains are due to investor perception that it is a strong company, some view ABBV as a defensive stock, with most of the other stocks in the sector also doing well. This included an unfavourable impact of $0.08 a share related to acquired in-process research and development (IPR&D) and milestones expenses incurred during the March quarter. Thus, it is likely that ABBV will continue to find support on the dips in this type of market environment.. Rinvoq's progress has been a little more circumspect, but almost as impressive. American Consumer News, LLC dba MarketBeat 2010-2023. To summarize, Humira may be going off-patent, but is more than capable of delivering double-digit billion revenues for another 3-4 years, and even in 2030, it could be amongst the top 20 best-selling drugs worldwide. AbbVie is a leader in ESG and sustainability. Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Moreover, with surging demand, rising investments in research and development, and increasing e-pharmacy channels, the industry is well-positioned for significant growth New research suggests Depakote ingredient could have a new clinical function. I have been maintaining a revenue forecasting table for AbbVie's products which I have amended based on Q2'22 and H1'22 results, and the slightly downgraded guidance issued for 2022 - management now expects adjusted earnings per share ("EPS") of $13.78 - $13.98, representing growth of 17% at the midpoint. Abbvie Stock Forecast 2023 In the Biopharmaceutical Industry, Abbvie has been able to create a leadership position in the market in each business segment with different brand names in different business categories like Immunology, Hematologic Oncology, Neuroscience, Aesthetics, and Eye Care. AbbVie sees strong 2022 earnings as Botox, Skyrizi power profit beat I am using a weighted average cost of capital of ~10%, which is broadly consistent with the figure I use when modelling for the other 7 members of what I term the "Big 8" US Pharmas - Johnson & Johnson, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Merck & Co (MRK), Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen, and Gilead Sciences (GILD) - which helps prove the accuracy of the calculation. And we remain confident in our ability to achieve total sales of more than $9 billion by 2029. AbbVie's post-Humira LOE plans are not riskless, and its targets are ambitious, but nevertheless I see no harm in picking up shares in the Pharma at the current price, accepting a generous 4% dividend, and likely benefitting from share repurchases and a steadily growing share price until 2030. Noting the stellar earnings reported by the firm in the first quarter, Richard A. Gonzalez, chairman and CEO of AbbVie, said: An overview of the companys net revenue in Q1 shows a major portion of revenue came from its immunology portfolio, which brought in $6.14bn. AbbVie had a net margin of 20.39% and a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 154.52%. In the last four years, Johnson & Johnson's Free Cash Flow has fallen from $18.53B to $17.00B - a 8.28% decrease. See AbbVie Inc. stock price prediction for 1 year made by analysts and compare it to price changes over time to develop a better trading strategy. View the latest news, buy/sell ratings, SEC filings and insider transactions for your stocks. Trial results demonstrated an overall response rate of 63% and a median duration of response of 12 months, where 39% of patients had already tried a CAR-T cell therapy. I do much more than just articles at Haggerston BioHealth: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. The companys original winner, Humira, is still the number one revenue source but the portfolio has been greatly expanded. (AbbVie JPM Healthcare conference presentation). Year-to-date, the stock was up slightly more than 12% while benchmark global indices have all fallen sharply amid surging inflation, interest rate hikes and slowdown worries. In the past I have written about the high level of competition between major Pharma in the auto-immune space - for example, for Psoriatic Arthritis the list of approved drugs includes Humira, UCB Pharma's Cimzia, Amgen's Enbrel, Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Stelara, Eli Lilly's (LLY) Talzt, Novartis' (NVS) Cosentyx and Bristol-Myers Squibb's (BMY) Orencia. Discovery Company. This suggests a possible upside of 3.8% from the stock's current price. Over the next nine years, experts believe that GSK's Free Cash Flow will grow at a rate of 1.98%. On average, analysts forecast that ABBV's EPS will be $11.80 for 2023, with the lowest EPS . Their combined revenues are expected to reach $7.5bn in 2022, and Gonzalez told the audience at JPM that: Skyrizi and Rinvoq are now on pace to deliver more than $17.5 billion in combined sales, risk adjusted sales in 2025, well above our previous expectations. Aurora Cannabis Stock Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030 All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. With AbbVie seemingly very confident of approvals for all 3 of these drugs, and Gonzalez suggesting they could form the basis of a "$6 billion kind of franchise" I have modelled for such an outcome by 2030. The Abbvie stock forecast for 2025 had the price at $259.018. Is this happening to you frequently? With AbbVie's revenues accelerating past $80bn in 2030 (by my calculation), and cash flow generated in that year being >$25bn, after applying discount factors for each year I reach a price target of $176 - the average of DCF - $162 per share - and EBITDA - $189 per share - calculations. An investment in AbbVie is not without risk, but my contention is that this Pharma is in good hands - CEO Gonzalez has made few mistakes during his near-decade in charge - and will emerge from the Humira LOE a stronger and more diverse company. There is no mention of Women's Health in the Q2'22 earnings call or in the 10-Q submission to the SEC, or any of the drugs within it, yet the divisions have not (to the best of my knowledge) been sold, despite rumors it was put up for sale at ~$5bn. (my tables and forecasting). Whether these factors make ABBV a good investment for you or not will depend on your portfolio composition, investment goals and risk profile, among other factors. As we can see, as per management's guidance revenues fall between 2022 and 2023, before recovering and growing in each year after. In this post I model AbbVie product sales to 2030 - including pipeline assets - and use discounted cash flow analysis to calculate a present day share price target. We continue to anticipate a clearer path to strong sales growth in 2025 with high-single-digit compounded annual growth rate to the end of this decade. According to the algorithm-based forecaster Wallet Investor in its Abbvie stock forecast for 2022, the price could reach $169.852 by the end of December, $199.491 by 2023 and $229.304 by 2024. Duodopa is approved for Parkinson's Disease but Gonzalez believes that the subcutaneous non-surgical delivery system of candidate ABBV951 can "significantly expand the patient population currently addressed by Duopa", and sees the drug as yet another future blockbuster. Armed with management's detailed guidance and commentary on sales performance of key assets and new product launches, however, I have completed sales projections for AbbVie to 2030, which I will share in this post, highlighting areas of strength and potential weaknesses. z o.o., AbbVie Productos Farmacuticos Limitada, AbbVie Products LLC, AbbVie Promoo L.da, AbbVie Pte. These are Immunology, Oncology, Neurology, Virology and Eye Care. When looking for ABBV stock forecasts, it's important to bear in mind that analysts' forecasts can be wrong. The median estimate represents a +5.72% increase from the last price of 156.07. ET comments With the Hughes Optioneering Strategy, youll soon learn that the safest option for new accounts is options themselves! The major market events for the week ahead right in your inbox. According to CEO Gonzalez: Over the long-term, aesthetics continues to be an extremely attractive underpenetrated market with significant growth potential. The division delivered >$1.65bn in sales in Q2'22, up >15% year-on-year, and with Vraylar, Ubrelvy and possibly Qulipta all earmarked for blockbuster sales - $4bn in the case of Vraylar - my forecasting suggests this division could double in size by 2030, from ~$6.6bn revenues generated in FY22, to >$13.5bn by 2030. That certainly won't derail the oncology division however. View analysts price targets for ABBV or view top-rated stocks among Wall Street analysts. The average price target is $163.64 with a high forecast of $190.00 and a low forecast of $133.00. ABBV-916 is therefore a real opportunity for AbbVie to develop a more effective and safer drug in the same class and claim a sizeable share of a 6m patient market. Compare your portfolio performance to leading indices and get personalized stock ideas based on your portfolio. The total revenue in 2021 was $56.20 billion with a 31% operating margin. I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABBV, BMY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. Is this happening to you frequently? To be sure, AbbVie is modeling for a tough year in 2023 for the aesthetics market. Not only do these companies pay handsome dividends, they typically grow revenues every year and generate wide profit margins which leads to share price upside. American biopharmaceutical company Abbvie (ABBV) has surged nearly 13% year to date (YTD), and 35% year-over-year (YOY), as of 30 June. As we look beyond 2025, we expect combined sales for Skyrizi and Rinvoq to exceed the peak revenues achieved by Humira, which was more than $21 billion. Between September 2021 and April 2022, AbbVie stock went on a sensational bull run, gaining 62% and hitting an all-time peak of $174. The Abbvie stock forecast for 2025 had the price at $259.018. At their peak, according to a slide from AbbVie's presentation at the JPMorgan (JPM), these 2 drugs are expected to generate more revenues than Humira at its peak. These products are not suitable for everyone and you should therefore consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and experience with these products before investing in them. The company provided earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $10.70- for the period. AbbVie stock is one of the most well-known pharmaceutical companies. The acquisition expanded AbbVies neuroscience portfolio, adding first-in-class modulators of the synaptic vesicle protein 2A, including lead molecule SDI-118 currently in Phase 1b studies. The company's average rating score is 2.44, and is based on 7 buy ratings, 9 hold ratings, and no sell ratings. When I began this post it was in my mind to give AbbVie stock a "Hold" rating owing to an underwhelming - on some levels - set of Q2'22 earnings, some concerns around high revenue generating products such as Imbruvica, Juvederm, and Restasis, the disappearance of the Women's Health division, the imminent LOE for Humira and the high levels of debt. I have not managed to match management's ambitious high-single-digit growth figures from 2025 - 2023, despite anticipating 6% growth for nearly all products in that period. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. One of the few pain points AbbVie experienced during a year of portfolio wide growth in 2022 was the decline in the revenue contribution from Imbruvica, approved to treat various types of lymphoma. AbbVie stock was up after posting a mixed fourth-quarter earnings report, but with the company's patent expiring on Humira, the stock is a hold, February 24, 2023|americanbankingnews.com, February 23, 2023|americanbankingnews.com. It had an upside potential of 4.76%, based on the closing price of $152.49 on 29 June. Although the company has admitted that 2023 earnings will likely be down in 2022 - guidance for last year is for earnings per share ("EPS') of $13.84 - $13.88 on an adjusted diluted basis, versus $12.7 in 2021 - Gonzalez and his team were making some bold promises to investors at this year's JP Morgan Healthcare conference. The average ABBVIE INC stock forecast 2023 represents a 1.86% increase from the last price of $153.729995727539. As we can see, sales of Humira are still climbing, with losses in Europe - where revenues fell by 14% to $699m - offset by growth in the US, to $4.7bn, up 10% year-on-year. Projections are based on making fundamental and technical studies of the ABBV stock price performance. All rights reserved. 2023 Market data provided is at least 10-minutes delayed and hosted by Barchart Solutions. As of 2023 February 22, Wednesday current price of ABBV stock is 151.340$ and our data indicates that the asset price has been in an uptrend for the past 1 year (or since its inception).. Abbvie stock price as been showing a rising tendency so we believe that similar market segments were very popular in the given time frame. Neurology also looks strong although aesthetics, eye care and oncology have something to prove. It is generally accepted however that 2023 will see the entrants into the US market of several generic versions of Humira - which works by inhibiting Tumor Necrosis Factor ("TNF"), an inflammation causing protein - from the likes of Viatris (VTRS), Organon (OGN), Pfizer (PFE), Amgen (AMGN), and several more companies involved in the development and sale of generic or biosimilar drugs. Having so much debt in a prevailing inflationary environment is also unattractive. 164.71 0.00 0.00%. In this article we take a closer look at the Abbvie stock forecast, after analysing the firms latest earnings, price moving news and analyst comments. View which stocks are hot on social media with MarketBeat's trending stocks report. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Excluding items, AbbVie earned $3.31 per share, beating estimates of $3.29 . Payout ratios above 75% are not desirable because they may not be sustainable. Gene therapies have been a long time coming, having first been popularized in the early noughties. According to 34 stock analysts, the average 12-month stock price forecast for AbbVie stock is $166.14, which predicts an increase of 7.62%. AbbVie has received a consensus rating of Hold. As a result I have dropped Imbruvica revenues to just over $3.5bn in 2022 and modelled for a CAGR growth of just 1.5% between then and 2030. According to AbbVie CEO Rick Gonzalez, speaking on the Q2'22 earnings call, "Skyrizi's total prescription share of the U.S. biological market (in psoriasis) has increased to approximately 26%", and". The company's lead asset - all-time best selling immunology drug Humira - finally loses patent protection this year and sales will enter a period of terminal decline. About the AbbVie, Inc. stock forecast. What is the dividend yield for AbbVie? All content of the Dow Jones branded indices S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC 2019 and/or its affiliates. What that means is, essentially it will be on formulary with biosimilars, but there won't be any difference between the biosimilar and Humira from a co-pay standpoint or any kind of a step editing. How to Decide, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Expanding in the West, One Way to Earn More From Dividend Stocks, How to Choose a Winning Dividend Investing Strategy, 3 Industries Leading the Stock Market Rebound, Oil Tankers Boost Dividends, See Continued Robust Business In '23. AbbVie's success - as its shareholders will doubtless be aware - stems from the runaway success of its immunology drug Humira, which is indicated for a range of autoimmune conditions, including Rheumatoid Arthritis, Psoriatic Arthritis, Psoriasis, Crohn's Disease, Ulcerative Colitis, Hidradenitis Suppurativa and Ankylosing spondylitis. AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance AbbVie updated its FY 2024 earnings guidance on Friday, February, 10th. Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access Free, Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits. Finally I can present a target price for AbbVie stock in 2023 using DCF / EBITDA analysis. Pessimistic target level: 151.42 Optimistic target level: 154.48 ABBV (ABBV) Monthly Stock Prediction for 2023 Full forecast for 2023 AbbVie forecast for this year However, there are some general principles that can be followed in order to improve the accuracy of stock price predictions. We do not make any representations or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the information that is provided on this page. Pharmaceuticals are often valued based on a philosophy of "jam tomorrow" as opposed to jam today i.e. AbbVie Stock Forecast 2023 - 2025 - 2030 | StockForecast.com Our Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination provides important information about our products and who our products are more likely to be suited to Capital.com does not provide financial or investment advice and you should seek independent advice if you are unsure of the risks or whether our products are suitable for you. Eli Lilly has long been a reliable stock, but with the company's impressive product pipeline, the stock could hold significant potential in the near term. With Skyrizi and Rinviq - two assets developed in-house - performing so well, however, perhaps we should give management the benefit of the doubt. Retail sales were up but so was inflation which meant more volatility for stocks. (NYSE: ABBV) Abbvie's current Earnings Per Share (EPS) is $6.65. Among the more notable are ImmuVen, Pharamcyclics and Allergan plc. Please. Today, AbbVie operates as a diversified multi-national pharmaceutical company with a patient-centric approach to research. The dividend payout ratio is 89.56%. Although Wallet Investor did not provide targets for 2030, its longer-term Abbvie stock prediction expected the price to hit $300.386 in June 2027. Epcoritamab alone will not be sufficient to get AbbVie where it wants to be - despite some analysts believing it will be the highest grossing Pharma revenue wise by 2026. Aesthetics was propped up by growing sales of Botox - up 12% year-on-year to $678m, but let down by sales of Juvederm, which management put down to lockdown regulations in China, and the "suspension" of operations in Russia. According to CompaniesMarketCap, the biopharmas market capitalisation stood at $272.38bn, making it the worlds 30th most valuable company. All generate blockbuster <$1bn per annum sales - in Stelara's case >$9bn per annum, and in Enbrel's case, >$4.5bn. AbbVie's mailing address is 1 NORTH WAUKEGAN ROAD, NORTH CHICAGO IL, 60064. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I will conclude this analysis by stating that, based on all available information, market headwinds and tailwinds, competitors, and opportunities via its products and pipeline, I still consider AbbVie to be a strong investment opportunity. Slide from JPM Conference 2022 presentation. (AbbVie data). Based on our forecasts, a long-term increase is expected, the "ABBV" stock price prognosis for 2028-02-23 is 287.522 USD. Find the latest AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) stock quote, history, news and other vital information to help you with your stock trading and investing. Capital Com is an execution-only service provider. AbbVie Stock: Still A Solid Buy After Modeling Sales To 2030 Better Buy: AbbVie vs. Johnson & Johnson | The Motley Fool You should do your own research and never invest money you cannot afford to lose. This year is off to a strong start. AbbVie has 5 focus areas for its research and products. The firm earned $15.12 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $15.30 billion. Sign-up to receive the latest news and ratings for AbbVie and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. Skyrizi has also been approved to treat Crohn's Disease, an added bonus and another multi-billion dollar market. In my last note on AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) for Seeking Alpha - in early July - I reviewed the Big Pharma's Q1'22 earnings and looked ahead to the release of Q2'22 figures. P/B Ratios above 3 indicate that a company could be overvalued with respect to its assets and liabilities. The consensus rating was moderate buy based on 16 analysts ratings, with 10 recommending buy, five hold and sell. But AbbVie is also keen to explore solid tumors, and I am therefore adding an additional $1.5bn of revenues from that source by 2030. AbbVie Fair Value Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030 In the last two years, AbbVie's Price has grown, increasing from $91.55 to $130.05 - an increase of 42.06%. Sales of the drug reached $19.9bn in 2018 and were $19.2bn, $19.8bn and $20.6bn in 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. My calculation is that Humira revenues in 2023 will be 80% of the 2022 figure, or $16.7bn. AbbVie's free cash flow yield is 10.5% compared to 4.3% for Johnson & Johnson . As of 30 June, analysts price predictions compiled by MarketBeats and long-term forecasts by Wallet Investor projected that the ABBV stock price could rise. Aurora Cannabis Revenue Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030. Based on earnings estimates, ABBV will have a dividend payout ratio of 54.11% next year. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools: You have already added five stocks to your watchlist. The obvious advantages of a "one and done" permanent cure make them potentially very lucrative therapies. The median. As such I have downgraded my own growth expectations in the forecasting table above, reducing annual growth from 7.5%, to just 2.5%, after forecasting for $5bn revenues in FY22 - down 7.5% year-on-year. writing - trading down slightly from its all-time high of >$160 achieved in early December last year. Top institutional shareholders include Geode Capital Management LLC (1.91%), Morgan Stanley (1.79%), Moneta Group Investment Advisors LLC (1.65%), Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD (1.15%), Norges Bank (1.06%) and Legal & General Group Plc (0.66%). As we can see the immunology division consists of only 3 assets yet by my calculation, will likely account for 50% of AbbVie's revenues in 2022 (to calculate 2022 sales revenues by product, since we do not yet have final figures, I have used 9m 2022 figures and assumed Q4 revenues will be the average of the previous 3 quarters). My detailed modeling suggests there is 15-20% upside to look forward to in the short term and that ABBV stock remains a solid long-term buy opportunity for investors. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Venclexta - a "first-in-class BCL-2 inhibitor for multiple hematological malignancies", according to Gonzalez, is forecast for strong growth, whilst Gonzalez has name checked 3 new drugs he expects to be approved by 2026. Move your mouse over a quarter or year to see how estimates have changed over time. AbbVie is a leading dividend payer. AbbVie has fought off patent challenges against Humira for years longer than expected, and despite losing exclusivity in Europe in 2020, a series of price hikes and market dominance in the US in indications such as Rheumatoid Arthritis ("RA"), Psoriatic Arthritis ("PsA"), Crohn's Disease ("CD"), and Ulcerative Colitis ("UC") - have enabled the drug's sales revenues to keep growing.